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M

conditional
condition

China Nuclear Threat For Taiwan Interference?

8 forecasters
if yes
if no

2030: Does China Have 1000 Nukes?

60%
60%

2030: Does China Have 1000 Nukes?

45%
45%
1
0

Make a Prediction

China Nuclear Threat For Taiwan Interference?

2030: Does China Have 1000 Nukes?

50%
community: 60%

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
Arms Control Association
People's Liberation Army
China
Federation of American Scientists
US Department of Defense
Taiwan
United States

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