US-China war before 2035?

conditional

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan?

if yes

if no

US-China war before 2035?

Make a Prediction

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan?	US-China war before 2035?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

community: 4%

Forecast Timeline

Yes

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan? → 2030: Does China Have 1000 Nukes?

China Nuclear Threat For Taiwan Interference? → US-China war before 2035?

U.S. Nukes to Japan or Philippines by 2035? → US-China war before 2035?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan?

US-China war before 2035?

US-China war before 2035?

Make a Prediction

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan?

US-China war before 2035?

Forecast Timeline

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan? → 2030: Does China Have 1000 Nukes?

China Nuclear Threat For Taiwan Interference? → US-China war before 2035?

U.S. Nukes to Japan or Philippines by 2035? → US-China war before 2035?

Comments

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan? → 2030: Does China Have 1000 Nukes?

China Nuclear Threat For Taiwan Interference? → US-China war before 2035?

U.S. Nukes to Japan or Philippines by 2035? → US-China war before 2035?

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan? → 2030: Does China Have 1000 Nukes?

China Nuclear Threat For Taiwan Interference? → US-China war before 2035?

U.S. Nukes to Japan or Philippines by 2035? → US-China war before 2035?

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan? → 2030: Does China Have 1000 Nukes?

China Nuclear Threat For Taiwan Interference? → US-China war before 2035?

U.S. Nukes to Japan or Philippines by 2035? → US-China war before 2035?