🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for the month of April 2024?

Resolved :180k215k
7
4
Total Forecasters121
Community Prediction215k (198k - 232k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<125k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>300k
...
...
...
...
...
1.0%
197.9k
214.9k
232.1k
1.9%

What was the final result?180k

Community Baseline Score
-4.4
Community Peer Score
52.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
U.S. Customs and Border Protection
CBP Office of Field Operations
Public health
Medicine
Virology

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