Question

Will Nebraska legally allocate its electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis in the 2024 presidential election?

Resolved :No0.5%

9 comments9

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction0.5% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%

community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

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93.7

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2.7

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

2024 Leaderboard

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

United States presidential elections in Nebraska

US Electoral College

Don Bacon (politician)

Battlegrounds, primaries and potential retirements mark the key Senate races to watch in 2026

NBC•Dec 24, 2024

A realignment — if Trump can keep it: 2024 results signal a new political era

New York Post•Dec 26, 2024

Trump could make it harder to vote — with Congress’ help

AlterNet•Dec 27, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

29.2%

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

17.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

2024 Leaderboard

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

United States presidential elections in Nebraska

US Electoral College

Don Bacon (politician)

Battlegrounds, primaries and potential retirements mark the key Senate races to watch in 2026

NBC•Dec 24, 2024

A realignment — if Trump can keep it: 2024 results signal a new political era

New York Post•Dec 26, 2024

Trump could make it harder to vote — with Congress’ help

AlterNet•Dec 27, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

29.2%

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

17.5%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will Nebraska legally allocate its electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis in the 2024 presidential election?

Make a Prediction

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

Comments

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?