Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will an AI model capable of autonomously generating accurate and complete book summaries be commonly available?

10
9
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction2025-08-16 (2024-11-14 - 2027-02-17)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2035-01-01
...
...
...
...
2024-11-14 21:32
2025-08-16 15:03
2027-02-17 22:17
1.7%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
LucaParodi
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Artificial Intelligence
Technology
ArXiv
Technology adoption life cycle
Robotics
Blog
Machine learning
Information technology
Fenice

Comments

? comments