Question

Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah before June 1, 2024?

Resolved :Yes99%

52 comments52

Total Forecasters235

Community Prediction99% (96% - 99.8%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

38.4

Community Peer Score

17.3

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RyanBeck IY

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Comments

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Authors:

RyanBeck IY

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Did Netanyahu set a Trap for Genocide?

CounterPunch•Dec 13, 2024

Negotiators say Israel and Hamas are inching toward a ceasefire deal. This is what it may look like

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Could Israel’s Netanyahu be about to agree to a Gaza ceasefire?

Al Jazeera•Dec 15, 2024

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Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

17%

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

99%

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Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah before June 1, 2024?

Make a Prediction

Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

Comments

Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?