Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?

Resolved :No18%
30
19
Total Forecasters299
Community Prediction18% (9% - 28%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 18%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
66.3
Community Peer Score
25.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Adrian
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Environment & Climate
Technology
2016-2020 Leaderboard
Paris Agreement
Goddard Institute for Space Studies
Environmental science
Global warming
Climate change denial

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