Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many tornadoes will there be in the US in April 2024?

Resolved :Above upper bound300
5
41
Total Forecasters420
Community Prediction300 (300 - 300)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<135
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>300
...
...
...
...
...
0.7%
>300
>300
>300
78.8%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
6.8
Community Peer Score
125.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest 2024
Environment & Climate
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
United States
Tornado
National Weather Service
Storm Prediction Center

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