Question

Will President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction39% (20% - 64%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 39%

Authors:

viniciusmjusto

Opened:

Apr 13, 2024

Closes:

Oct 3, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 29, 2026

2006 Brazilian general election

Jair Bolsonaro

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Workers' Party (Brazil)

Superior Electoral Court

Why Brazil's Lula is bleeding support

Raw Story•Feb 18, 2025

Brazil's former president faces charges over alleged coup plot

NPR Online News•Feb 19, 2025

Ex-Brazil President Bolsonaro charged over alleged coup that included plan to poison Lula

NBC•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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45%

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44.6

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95%

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