Question

Will President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters90

Community Prediction

30%

(20% - 52%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

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Authors:

viniciusmjusto

Opened:

Apr 13, 2024

Closes:

Oct 3, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 29, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 16, 2024

2006 Brazilian general election

Jair Bolsonaro

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Workers' Party (Brazil)

Superior Electoral Court

How Will Trump Victory Change US-Brazil Relations?

CounterPunch•May 10, 2025

Jair Bolsonaro Dons MAGA Hat for ‘Trump Dance’ to Celebrate Election Victory

Breitbart•May 9, 2025

Brazil arrests soldiers over alleged 2022 Lula assassination plot

Raw Story•May 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term?

96%

Will Alexandre de Moraes cease to be a minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before 2026?

Will Javier Milei be reelected as President of Argentina before January 1, 2028?

66%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

viniciusmjusto

Opened:

Apr 13, 2024

Closes:

Oct 3, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 29, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 16, 2024

2006 Brazilian general election

Jair Bolsonaro

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Workers' Party (Brazil)

Superior Electoral Court

How Will Trump Victory Change US-Brazil Relations?

CounterPunch•May 10, 2025

Jair Bolsonaro Dons MAGA Hat for ‘Trump Dance’ to Celebrate Election Victory

Breitbart•May 9, 2025

Brazil arrests soldiers over alleged 2022 Lula assassination plot

Raw Story•May 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term?

96%

Will Alexandre de Moraes cease to be a minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before 2026?

Will Javier Milei be reelected as President of Argentina before January 1, 2028?

66%

Will President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026?

Make a Prediction

Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term?

Will Alexandre de Moraes cease to be a minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before 2026?

Will Javier Milei be reelected as President of Argentina before January 1, 2028?

Comments

Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term?

Will Alexandre de Moraes cease to be a minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before 2026?

Will Javier Milei be reelected as President of Argentina before January 1, 2028?

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