Question

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters56

Community Prediction4%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

median 4.0%mean 7.1%

Authors:

will_aldred RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial Intelligence

Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

20%

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income (≥$100 a month) before 2030?

Will a Guaranteed Minimum Income be introduced in any EU country before 2041?

72%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial Intelligence

‘A fork in the road’: laundry-sorting robot spurs AI hopes and fears at Europe’s biggest tech event

Guardian•Nov 15, 2024

AI could cause ‘social ruptures’ between people who disagree on its sentience

Guardian•Nov 18, 2024

With Elon Musk in tow, Trump eyes changes to government policies on AI and its risks

CNN•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

20%

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income (≥$100 a month) before 2030?

Will a Guaranteed Minimum Income be introduced in any EU country before 2041?

72%