Question

Will the United States enact a law that protects whistleblowers from disclosing to the general public potential harm to the public caused by an AI system before 2028?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction13.5% (5% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 13.5%

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Authors:

will_aldred RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

Artificial Intelligence

Directive (European Union)

United States

Defend Trade Secrets Act

Computer Fraud and Abuse Act

Zoe Lofgren

Aaron Swartz

'There is a rush': Report shows lawmakers' plan to end lawsuits that silence critics

Raw Story•Dec 13, 2024

UK consults on opt-out model for training AIs on copyrighted content

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

The Trump administration could reverse progress on AI regulation

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

30%

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

22%

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

83%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

Artificial Intelligence

Directive (European Union)

United States

Defend Trade Secrets Act

Computer Fraud and Abuse Act

Zoe Lofgren

Aaron Swartz

'There is a rush': Report shows lawmakers' plan to end lawsuits that silence critics

Raw Story•Dec 13, 2024

UK consults on opt-out model for training AIs on copyrighted content

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

The Trump administration could reverse progress on AI regulation

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

30%

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

22%

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

83%

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Will the United States enact a law that protects whistleblowers from disclosing to the general public potential harm to the public caused by an AI system before 2028?

Make a Prediction

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

Comments

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?