Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many irregular immigrant entries to Spain will be reported for the year 2024 by the Spanish Ministry of Interior?

3
3
Total Forecasters9
Community Prediction62.5k (57.5k - 66.5k)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>70k
...
...
...
...
57.46k
62.47k
66.55k
14.3%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
chipm
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Social Sciences
2024 Leaderboard
Ministry of the Interior (Spain)
Immigration to Spain
Spain

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