🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

What will be the highest daily close price (in $USD) of the CBOE S&P 500 (VIX) and Crude Oil (OVX) Volatility Index between April 15 and June 1, 2024?

5
6
52 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Apr-May Highresolution
community
<15
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50
0.5%
19.08
19.43
19.85
0.6%

What was the final result?19.2

Community Baseline Score
139.8
Community Peer Score
61.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
johnnycaffeineIY
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Geopolitics
Economy & Business
2024 Leaderboard
Iran
Price of oil
Chicago Board Options Exchange
United States Oil Fund
S&P 500 Index
Middle East
Israel

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