Question
Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 14
Make a Prediction
| Number | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
0 or 1 | 43.8% | |||
2 or 3 | 37.9% | |||
4 or 5 | 11.5% | |||
6 or 7 | 3.5% | |||
8 or 9 | 2.2% | |||
10 or more | 1.1% | |||
Total: ?
(? remaining)Authors:
Opened:May 17, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:May 17, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
