🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on May 1, 2024?

Resolved :5.02k5.08k
5
4
Total Forecasters132
Community Prediction5.08k (5.02k - 5.14k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<4.25k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>5.75k
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
5.023k
5.08k
5.135k
0.2%

What was the final result?5.02k

Community Baseline Score
74.1
Community Peer Score
11.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBecklbiii
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Economy & Business
2024 Leaderboard
S&P 500 Index
Federal Open Market Committee
Federal funds rate

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