S&P 500 Index Close on May 1, 2024?

conditional

condition

Interest Rate Cut More Likely After May FOMC?

Resolved :No

297 forecasters

if yes

if no

S&P 500 Index Close on May 1, 2024?

5.11k

Resolved :Annulled5.11k

S&P 500 Index Close on May 1, 2024?

5.05k

Resolved :5.02k5.05k

5 comments5

Make a Prediction

Interest Rate Cut More Likely After May FOMC?	S&P 500 Index Close on May 1, 2024?
if yes	My Prediction: -
if no	My Prediction: -

PDF

CDF

My Prediction

community

<4.25k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>5.75k

...

0.1%

5.035k

5.106k

5.183k

0.2%

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Apr 16, 2024

Closes:

Apr 30, 2024

Resolves:

May 1, 2024

Bridgewater Forecasting Contest 2024

Economy & Business

Jerome Powell

Federal Reserve Board of Governors

Federal Reserve

S&P 500 Index

Federal Open Market Committee

Federal funds rate

Here’s The Fed’s 2025 Meeting Schedule And What To Expect For Interest Rates

Forbes•Jan 26, 2025

The Fed Is Unlikely To Cut Interest Rates In January Due To Inflation

Forbes•Jan 28, 2025

Fed meeting live updates: Under pressure from Trump, will Fed hold interest rates?

USA Today•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

75%

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

66%

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on the following dates?

6.56k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Apr 16, 2024

Closes:

Apr 30, 2024

Resolves:

May 1, 2024

Bridgewater Forecasting Contest 2024

Economy & Business

Jerome Powell

Federal Reserve Board of Governors

Federal Reserve

S&P 500 Index

Federal Open Market Committee

Federal funds rate

Here’s The Fed’s 2025 Meeting Schedule And What To Expect For Interest Rates

Forbes•Jan 26, 2025

The Fed Is Unlikely To Cut Interest Rates In January Due To Inflation

Forbes•Jan 28, 2025

Fed meeting live updates: Under pressure from Trump, will Fed hold interest rates?

USA Today•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

75%

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

66%

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on the following dates?

6.56k