Question

Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election in Rwanda?

6 comments6

23 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 23

Paul Kagame

Frank Habineza

Another outcome

Make a Prediction

Candidate		My Prediction		Me
ResolvedPaul Kagame	98%

Frank Habineza	1%

Another outcome	1%

Total: ?

(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Paul Kagame

Community Baseline Score

97.9

Community Peer Score

3.5

Authors:

rduubs

Opened:

May 2, 2024

Closes:

Jul 14, 2024

Resolves:

Jul 18, 2024

2024 International Elections Hub

Democrats 2028 Primary Polls: What Early Data Shows

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Ghana to Botswana: Why African voters are throwing out ruling parties

Al Jazeera•Feb 19, 2025

Zelenskyy faces perilous re-election odds as US, Russia push Ukraine to go to the polls as part of peace deal

FOX News•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will be elected President of France in 2027?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

46%

Will there be a successful coup in Cameroon before 2026?

18.4%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

rduubs

Opened:

May 2, 2024

Closes:

Jul 14, 2024

Resolves:

Jul 18, 2024

2024 International Elections Hub

Democrats 2028 Primary Polls: What Early Data Shows

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Ghana to Botswana: Why African voters are throwing out ruling parties

Al Jazeera•Feb 19, 2025

Zelenskyy faces perilous re-election odds as US, Russia push Ukraine to go to the polls as part of peace deal

FOX News•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will be elected President of France in 2027?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

46%

Will there be a successful coup in Cameroon before 2026?

18.4%