Question

When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters8

Community Prediction2034-07-19 (2032-08-02 - 2034-12-31)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

<2024-05-01

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2034-12-31

...

0.2%

2032-08-02 06:18

2034-07-19 08:18

>2034-12-31 00:00

38.4%

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Medium-lift launch vehicle

Mechanical engineering

Elon Musk's Tesla Roadster

Utah

Aerospace engineering

Ian Brooke

K2 Space will fly its extra-large satellite for the first time in 2026

TechCrunch•Dec 20, 2024

Outgoing NASA leader Bill Nelson weighs in on Elon Musk and SpaceX, defends plans for moon rocket

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SpaceX to launch more private astronaut missions to ISS

Raw Story•Dec 20, 2024

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2036-01-01

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Medium-lift launch vehicle

Mechanical engineering

Elon Musk's Tesla Roadster

Utah

Aerospace engineering

Ian Brooke

K2 Space will fly its extra-large satellite for the first time in 2026

TechCrunch•Dec 20, 2024

Outgoing NASA leader Bill Nelson weighs in on Elon Musk and SpaceX, defends plans for moon rocket

CBS•Dec 19, 2024

SpaceX to launch more private astronaut missions to ISS

Raw Story•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will SpinLaunch lift a satellite to low Earth orbit by 2032?

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will a reusable single-stage-to-orbit vehicle deliver a payload to orbit?

2036-01-01

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When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?

Make a Prediction

Will SpinLaunch lift a satellite to low Earth orbit by 2032?

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will a reusable single-stage-to-orbit vehicle deliver a payload to orbit?

Comments

Will SpinLaunch lift a satellite to low Earth orbit by 2032?

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will a reusable single-stage-to-orbit vehicle deliver a payload to orbit?

Will SpinLaunch lift a satellite to low Earth orbit by 2032?

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will a reusable single-stage-to-orbit vehicle deliver a payload to orbit?

Will SpinLaunch lift a satellite to low Earth orbit by 2032?

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will a reusable single-stage-to-orbit vehicle deliver a payload to orbit?