Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Who will win the 2024 Men's Ballon d'Or award?

3
9
24 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 24

Make a Prediction

PlayerMe
ResolvedRodri
10.8%
Jude Bellingham
3.5%
Phil Foden
0.1%
Erling Haaland
0.1%
Harry Kane
0.1%
Kylian Mbappe
1%
Lionel Messi
0.1%
Vinicius Jr.
83.3%
Someone else
1%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Rodri

Community Baseline Score
-41.9
Community Peer Score
84.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

Comments

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