Question

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

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Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction1% (0.3% - 7.1%)

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50%

community: 1%

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Authors:

will_aldred

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Artificial Intelligence

Great Recession in the US

United States

AI takeover

Great Recession

Bureau of Labor Statistics

The AI job market is set to snowball in 2025

Business Insider•Dec 22, 2024

The probability of a US recession in 2025 is 0%, according to a top economist. Here's what to worry about instead.

Business Insider•Dec 23, 2024

2025 Outlook: Five Trends That Will Impact The Economy And Markets

Forbes•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

49.2

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial Intelligence

Great Recession in the US

United States

AI takeover

Great Recession

Bureau of Labor Statistics

The AI job market is set to snowball in 2025

Business Insider•Dec 22, 2024

The probability of a US recession in 2025 is 0%, according to a top economist. Here's what to worry about instead.

Business Insider•Dec 23, 2024

2025 Outlook: Five Trends That Will Impact The Economy And Markets

Forbes•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

49.2

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Make a Prediction

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

Comments

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?