Question

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction1% (0.5% - 10%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Jun 28, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

Great Recession in the US

United States

AI takeover

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Surviving Within Artificial Intelligence's Useless Class

Psychology Today•Feb 12, 2025

Global oil demand 'clings by a thread' and even AI might not do much to boost crude

Business Insider•Feb 13, 2025

The impending AI-driven jobless economy: Who will pay taxes?

FOX News•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

47.6

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Jun 28, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

Great Recession in the US

United States

AI takeover

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Surviving Within Artificial Intelligence's Useless Class

Psychology Today•Feb 12, 2025

Global oil demand 'clings by a thread' and even AI might not do much to boost crude

Business Insider•Feb 13, 2025

The impending AI-driven jobless economy: Who will pay taxes?

FOX News•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

47.6