Question

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

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Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction1% (0.5% - 2.3%)

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50%

community: 1%

Authors:

will_aldred

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Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

Great Recession in the US

United States

AI takeover

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Study: Music Artists Expected to Lose Nearly 1/4 of Income Due to Artificial Intelligence

Breitbart•Dec 8, 2024

Some workers are warming up to AI and think it will help their career

Business Insider•Dec 11, 2024

The rise of the "AI engineer" and what it means for the future of tech jobs

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

49.2

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

Great Recession in the US

United States

AI takeover

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Study: Music Artists Expected to Lose Nearly 1/4 of Income Due to Artificial Intelligence

Breitbart•Dec 8, 2024

Some workers are warming up to AI and think it will help their career

Business Insider•Dec 11, 2024

The rise of the "AI engineer" and what it means for the future of tech jobs

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

49.2

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Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

Comments

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?