Question

Will Mike Johnson be Speaker of the House on May 20, 2024?

Resolved :Yes99.9%

7 comments7

Total Forecasters338

Community Prediction99.9% (99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99.9%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

97.0

Community Peer Score

12.5

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Apr 23, 2024

Closes:

May 19, 2024

Resolves:

May 20, 2024

Bridgewater Forecasting Contest 2024

Politics

Ukraine

Mike Gallagher (American politician)

Kevin McCarthy (California politician)

Mike Johnson (Louisiana politician)

Johnson optimistic he’ll remain House speaker as GOP holdouts threaten another marathon round of voting

New York Post•Jan 26, 2025

What to know about race for speaker of the House

FOX News•Jan 27, 2025

Johnson’s bid to remain House speaker could be a struggle despite Trump’s support

PBS NewsHour•Jan 27, 2025

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