Question

How many humans will have landed on the moon before anyone does on Mars?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction46.2

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upper 75%

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20.7

46.2

134

0.9%

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NASA Needs a ‘Lunar Marathon’ to Match China on the Moon

Scientific American•Oct 1, 2024

Moon Was Stolen, Claim Astronomers Challenging Lunar Origin Story

Newsweek•Oct 2, 2024

Covid lockdown left 'measurable impact' on the moon: scientists

New York Post•Oct 3, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?

17.8

What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?

2.47

When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?

2040-08

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How many humans will have landed on the moon before anyone does on Mars?

Make a Prediction

By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?

What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?

When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?

Comments

By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?

What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?

When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?

By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?

What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?

When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?

By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?

What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?

When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?