Question
How many humans will have landed on the moon before anyone does on Mars?
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction40.9 (20.2 - 104)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 20.25 | — |
| median | 40.87 | — |
| upper 75% | 104.1 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10k | 0.5% | — |
Authors:
Opened:May 3, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 3, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
