Question

When will a carbon price be paid on 50% or more of the world's carbon emissions?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters6

Community Prediction2036-06-17 (2032-03-07 - 2040-12-01)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

<2024-04-22

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2050-01-01

...

3.8%

2032-03-07 13:44

2036-06-17 06:35

2040-12-01 00:17

6.6%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Bervie

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Carbon price

Our World in Data

Economists' Statement on Climate Change

Nobel Prize

Alfred Nobel

United States

Biden set an ambitious new climate goal. Will it still matter under Trump?

•Dec 19, 2024

The Word Nobody Wanted to Say at the UN Climate Action Summit

ProPublica•Dec 17, 2024

Biden Sets Goal of Cutting Greenhouse Gases by More Than 60%

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will countries making up a combined share of global GDP of 50% or more have a carbon tax?

2035-12-02

When will the US implement a national carbon tax or carbon pricing mechanism?

2031-12-01

Will China's CO2 emissions peak before 2030?

75%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Bervie

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Carbon price

Our World in Data

Economists' Statement on Climate Change

Nobel Prize

Alfred Nobel

United States

Biden set an ambitious new climate goal. Will it still matter under Trump?

•Dec 19, 2024

The Word Nobody Wanted to Say at the UN Climate Action Summit

ProPublica•Dec 17, 2024

Biden Sets Goal of Cutting Greenhouse Gases by More Than 60%

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will countries making up a combined share of global GDP of 50% or more have a carbon tax?

2035-12-02

When will the US implement a national carbon tax or carbon pricing mechanism?

2031-12-01

Will China's CO2 emissions peak before 2030?

75%

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MetaculusM

When will a carbon price be paid on 50% or more of the world's carbon emissions?

Make a Prediction

When will countries making up a combined share of global GDP of 50% or more have a carbon tax?

When will the US implement a national carbon tax or carbon pricing mechanism?

Will China's CO2 emissions peak before 2030?

Comments

When will countries making up a combined share of global GDP of 50% or more have a carbon tax?

When will the US implement a national carbon tax or carbon pricing mechanism?

Will China's CO2 emissions peak before 2030?

When will countries making up a combined share of global GDP of 50% or more have a carbon tax?

When will the US implement a national carbon tax or carbon pricing mechanism?

Will China's CO2 emissions peak before 2030?

When will countries making up a combined share of global GDP of 50% or more have a carbon tax?

When will the US implement a national carbon tax or carbon pricing mechanism?

Will China's CO2 emissions peak before 2030?