Question

When will the Republican candidate next win the Popular Vote in a US Presidential Election?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction2027-06

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<2024-11

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2101-01

...

44.0%

2024-11

2027-06

2034-08

0.1%

Authors:

Bervie

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

Democratic Party (US)

US presidential election

Republican Party (US)

When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

2056-10

Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?

75%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Bervie

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

Democratic Party (US)

US presidential election

Republican Party (US)

Gallup: 80% of Key Measures Favor Republicans in 2024 Election

Breitbart•Oct 1, 2024

Gallup's Findings on This Question Should Give the GOP Confidence About the 2024 Election

Townhall•Oct 1, 2024

How the 2020 Census Map Impacts the 2024 Electoral College

Newsweek•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

2056-10

Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?

75%

MetaculusM

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When will the Republican candidate next win the Popular Vote in a US Presidential Election?

Make a Prediction

When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?

Comments

When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?

When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?

When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?