Question

When will the Republican candidate next win the Popular Vote in a US Presidential Election?

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction2024-11-05 (2024-11-05 - 2025-06-16)

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weight:

	<2024-11-05	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2101-01-01
community	62.7%	<2024	<2024	2025	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<2024-11-05	62.7%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	<2024	—
median	<2024	—
upper 75%	2025	—
Upper bound
>2101-01-01	0.1%	—

Authors:

Bervie

Opened:

Apr 29, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2101

Elections

Politics

Democratic Party (US)

US presidential election

Republican Party (US)

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