🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Iceland?

3
3
12 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 12

Make a Prediction

CandidateMe
ResolvedHalla Tómasdóttir
1%
Katrín Jakobsdóttir
51.9%
Baldur Þórhallsson
4.8%
Jón Gnarr
1%
Halla Hrund Logadóttir
40.2%
Other
1%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Halla Tómasdóttir

Community Baseline Score
-145.3
Community Peer Score
-13.0
Learn more about scores here.
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

Comments

? comments