Question

Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?

Resolved :Yes

6 comments6

Total Forecasters176

Community Prediction88%

Make a Prediction

community: 88%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

70.3

Community Peer Score

17.6

median 88.0%mean 83.0%

Authors:

MattSevrens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Law

Adult Use of Marijuana Act

Legality of cannabis

California

Will the recreational marijuana amendment pass in the November 2024 election?

Will marijuana be legal for recreational use in a supermajority of these strongly Republican US states before 2041?

90%

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

45%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MattSevrens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Law

Adult Use of Marijuana Act

Legality of cannabis

California

California Voters Are Primed to Reject Minimum Wage Increase, Poll Shows

Newsweek•Oct 9, 2024

DEA could reclassify marijuana to a less restrictive category – a drug policy expert weighs the pros and cons

The Conversation•Oct 9, 2024

Should California’s minimum wage be $18? Voters will soon decide

Associated Press•Oct 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the recreational marijuana amendment pass in the November 2024 election?

Will marijuana be legal for recreational use in a supermajority of these strongly Republican US states before 2041?

90%

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

45%