🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Sri Lanka?

5
8
35 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 35

Make a Prediction

CandidateMe
ResolvedAnura Kumara Dissanayake
51.3%
Sajith Premadasa
39.1%
Ranil Wickremesinghe
7.5%
The Sri Lanka People's Front (SLPP) candidate
1.1%
Another outcome
1.1%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Anura Kumara Dissanayake

Community Baseline Score
64.2
Community Peer Score
12.2
Learn more about scores here.
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

Comments

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