🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Pedro Sanchez announce his resignation as Prime Minister of Spain before April 30, 2024?

Resolved :No13%
14
26
Total Forecasters133
Community Prediction13% (10% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 13%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
66.7
Community Peer Score
22.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
kikollan
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
Begoña Gómez
Manos Limpias
Spain
Pedro Sánchez

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