Question

If Nicolás Maduro loses the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, will he abdicate the presidency?

Resolved :Annulled

5 comments5

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction10%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

median 10.0%mean 19.8%

Authors:

diego.lombardi.boscan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

2006 Venezuelan presidential election

Next Venezuelan presidential election

Constitution of Venezuela

Venezuela

Nicolás Maduro

Venezuela releases from prison some of the thousands detained after presidential election

Associated Press•Nov 17, 2024

Venezuela frees dozens of prisoners arrested after Maduro’s election victory

CNN•Nov 17, 2024

US recognizes Venezuela’s opposition candidate as president-elect months after the disputed election

Associated Press•Nov 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Nicolás Maduro be inaugurated for a new term in January 2025?

99.7%

Maduro inaugurated in January 2025? → Venezuelan Civil War

Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?

79%

Comments

? comments