Question

If Nicolás Maduro loses the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, will he abdicate the presidency?

Resolved :Annulled10%

5 comments5

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction10% (4% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Authors:

diego.lombardi.boscan

Opened:

May 2, 2024

Closes:

Jan 7, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 7, 2025

Elections

Politics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Constitution of Venezuela

2006 Venezuelan presidential election

Next Venezuelan presidential election

Venezuela

Nicolás Maduro

U.S. orders wind down of Chevron's oil exports from Venezuela in 30 days

CNBC•Mar 5, 2025

Trump gives Chevron 30 days to stop pumping oil in Venezuela over Maduro’s stalled reforms, migrant returns

New York Post•Mar 5, 2025

His Next Coup?

Atlantic•Mar 5, 2025

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Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?

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Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

diego.lombardi.boscan

Opened:

May 2, 2024

Closes:

Jan 7, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 7, 2025

Elections

Politics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Constitution of Venezuela

2006 Venezuelan presidential election

Next Venezuelan presidential election

Venezuela

Nicolás Maduro

U.S. orders wind down of Chevron's oil exports from Venezuela in 30 days

CNBC•Mar 5, 2025

Trump gives Chevron 30 days to stop pumping oil in Venezuela over Maduro’s stalled reforms, migrant returns

New York Post•Mar 5, 2025

His Next Coup?

Atlantic•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?

35%

When will Alexander Lukashenko leave power in Belarus?

2028-09-01

Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?

53%