Question

If Nicolás Maduro loses the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, will he abdicate the presidency?

Resolved :Annulled

5 comments5

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction10%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

median 10.0%mean 19.8%

Authors:

diego.lombardi.boscan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

2006 Venezuelan presidential election

Next Venezuelan presidential election

Constitution of Venezuela

Venezuela

Nicolás Maduro

Will Nicolás Maduro be inaugurated for a new term in January 2025?

99%

Maduro inaugurated in January 2025? → Venezuelan Civil War

Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?

79%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

diego.lombardi.boscan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

2006 Venezuelan presidential election

Next Venezuelan presidential election

Constitution of Venezuela

Venezuela

Nicolás Maduro

What Venezuelans Think About Their Presidential Election

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Breitbart•Nov 4, 2024

If Donald Trump Loses, Most Americans Believe He Won't Concede: Poll

Newsweek•Nov 5, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Nicolás Maduro be inaugurated for a new term in January 2025?

99%

Maduro inaugurated in January 2025? → Venezuelan Civil War

Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?

79%