M

Question

Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?

Resolved :No4%
Total Forecasters136
Community Prediction4% (1% - 16%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
88.1
Community Peer Score
17.7
Authors:
Opened:Jun 2, 2016
Closes:Oct 8, 2016
Resolves:Nov 9, 2016

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