Question

Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?

Resolved :No

8 comments8

Total Forecasters136

Community Prediction4%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

88.1

Community Peer Score

17.7

median 4.0%mean 11.3%

Authors:

baxtish

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

Mitt Romney

2016 US presidential election

Republican Party (US)

George W. Bush

George H. W. Bush

Donald Trump

Trump didn’t just win. He expanded his voter base | John Zogby

Guardian•Nov 12, 2024

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Townhall•Nov 12, 2024

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Newsweek•Nov 12, 2024

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Comments

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