M

Question

Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?

Resolved :No
Total Forecasters136
Community Prediction4%

Make a Prediction

community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
88.1
Community Peer Score
17.7
median 4.0%mean 11.3%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%


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