🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

How many seats will each party win in the 2024 South African general election?

3
9
5 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Partyresolution
<1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
0.1%
3.582
4.826
6.402

What was the final result?6

Community Baseline Score
36.3
Community Peer Score
16.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

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