Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Kais Saied be re-elected President of Tunisia in 2024?

Resolved :Yes99%
2
4
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction99% (96% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
63.9
Community Peer Score
6.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2024 International Elections Hub
Elections
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
Tunisia
Kais Saied
Rached Ghannouchi
2014 Tunisian presidential election

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