🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

conditional
condition

ICC Arrest Warrants for Israeli Leaders?

Resolved :No
21 forecasters
if yes
if no

Netanyahu PM Through 2024?

50%
50%
Resolved :Annulled49.9%

Netanyahu PM Through 2024?

75%
75%
Resolved :Yes74.7%
2
1

Make a Prediction

ICC Arrest Warrants for Israeli Leaders?

Netanyahu PM Through 2024?

50%
community: 49.9%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Conditional Cup
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
International Criminal Court
Yom Kippur War
Gaza Strip
Hamas
Vladimir Putin
Israel
Herzi Halevi
Benjamin Netanyahu
Yoav Galant

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