Question

Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?

Resolved :No52%

24 comments24

Total Forecasters294

Community Prediction52% (33% - 64%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-58.5

Community Peer Score

35.5

Authors:

GarrettLisi

Opened:

May 13, 2016

Closes:

Jun 2, 2018

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2021

Computing and Math

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Information technology

Philosophy

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Verge•Jan 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?

60%

When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?

2029-11-26

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

2030-11-17

Comments

? comments

Authors:

GarrettLisi

Opened:

May 13, 2016

Closes:

Jun 2, 2018

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2021

Computing and Math

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Information technology

Philosophy

Apple electric car project

Meta is building Oakley smart glasses for athletes: Report

TechCrunch•Jan 22, 2025

Samsung and Google are developing AR glasses together

Verge•Jan 23, 2025

Here’s what Samsung’s first Android XR headset looks like in person

Verge•Jan 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?

60%

When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?

2029-11-26

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

2030-11-17