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In the following years, how much energy will be used (in terawatt-hours) by data centers?

5 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

2050

2040

2030

Make a Prediction

Year	25th	median	75th
2030	1.43k ...	2.08k ...	3.14k ...
2040	4.32k ...	6.44k ...	9.99k ...
2050	16.2k ...	25.5k ...	42.3k ...

weight:

My Prediction

community

<100

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>8k

...

0.3%

1.426k

2.079k

3.143k

6.4%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

lbiii RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Environment & Climate

Cryptography

International Energy Agency

Robotics

Finance

Machine learning

Information technology

World Energy Outlook

A.I. Data Centers Are Emitting Nearly as Much Greenhouse Gases As Commercial Airlines

Observer (NY)•Dec 18, 2024

Amazon commits another $10 billion to Ohio data centers amid questions about energy costs and supply

Business Insider•Dec 18, 2024

Generative AI and Climate Change Are on a Collision Course

Wired•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be total US power consumption in terrawatt hours in 2031?

6.64k

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

40%

How many terawatt-hours of electricity will be generated from solar power worldwide in the year 2030?

5.48k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

lbiii RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Environment & Climate

Cryptography

International Energy Agency

Robotics

Finance

Machine learning

Information technology

World Energy Outlook

A.I. Data Centers Are Emitting Nearly as Much Greenhouse Gases As Commercial Airlines

Observer (NY)•Dec 18, 2024

Amazon commits another $10 billion to Ohio data centers amid questions about energy costs and supply

Business Insider•Dec 18, 2024

Generative AI and Climate Change Are on a Collision Course

Wired•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be total US power consumption in terrawatt hours in 2031?

6.64k

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

40%

How many terawatt-hours of electricity will be generated from solar power worldwide in the year 2030?

5.48k

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

In the following years, how much energy will be used (in terawatt-hours) by data centers?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

What will be total US power consumption in terrawatt hours in 2031?

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

How many terawatt-hours of electricity will be generated from solar power worldwide in the year 2030?

Comments

What will be total US power consumption in terrawatt hours in 2031?

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

How many terawatt-hours of electricity will be generated from solar power worldwide in the year 2030?

What will be total US power consumption in terrawatt hours in 2031?

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

How many terawatt-hours of electricity will be generated from solar power worldwide in the year 2030?

What will be total US power consumption in terrawatt hours in 2031?

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

How many terawatt-hours of electricity will be generated from solar power worldwide in the year 2030?