Question

Will the UK or France veto a United Nations Security Council resolution before 2051?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction40% (29% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

Authors:

Bervie

Opened:

May 8, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2051

Geopolitics

United Kingdom

United Nations Security Council

United Nations

France

Council on Foreign Relations

Ukraine: Briefing and Vote on a Draft Resolution

•Feb 24, 2025

U.N. rejects U.S. resolution that urged end to Ukraine war without mentioning Russian aggression

CBS•Feb 25, 2025

U.S. opposes Ukraine territorial integrity in UN vote

Raw Story•Feb 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

22.5%

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

11%

Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?

1.5%

Comments

? comments