Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?

Resolved :Yes50%
4
7
Total Forecasters106
Community Prediction50% (41% - 68%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 50%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-20.3
Community Peer Score
44.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
James
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Law
Computing and Math
2016-2017 Leaderboard
Working Group on Arbitrary Detention
Julian Assange
Embassy of Ecuador, London
Sweden

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