2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

conditional

condition

Trump Felony Conviction Before Election?

Resolved :Yes

if yes

if no

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

60%

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

80%

Resolved :Annulled

2 comments2

Make a Prediction

Trump Felony Conviction Before Election?	2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 60%

Forecast Timeline

Donald Trump

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution

What happens if a convicted felon – like Trump – wins the presidency?

Independent•Oct 25, 2024

Blue State Blues: For Trump, 2024 Is the Ultimate Redemption

Breitbart•Oct 25, 2024

Donald Trump Faces Legal Abyss if He Loses Election

Newsweek•Oct 26, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → Donald Trump Incarceration by 2030?

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Will Biden and Trump Debate in 2024? → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution

What happens if a convicted felon – like Trump – wins the presidency?

Independent•Oct 25, 2024

Blue State Blues: For Trump, 2024 Is the Ultimate Redemption

Breitbart•Oct 25, 2024

Donald Trump Faces Legal Abyss if He Loses Election

Newsweek•Oct 26, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch