🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will UCLA hold its in-person, university-wide graduation commencement ceremonies scheduled for June 14, 2024?

Resolved :Yes95%
4
11
Total Forecasters70
Community Prediction95% (90% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
54.2
Community Peer Score
16.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Politics
Social Sciences
2024 Leaderboard
University of California, Los Angeles
Pauley Pavilion
2011–12 Palestinian protests
Gaza War (2008–09)

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