Question

Will the Pandemic Agreement be approved at the May 2024 World Health Assembly?

Resolved :No37%

5 comments5

Total Forecasters45

Community Prediction37% (9.3% - 48%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 37%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

12.4

Community Peer Score

10.9

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Health & Pandemics

2024 Leaderboard

Infectious disease

World Health Assembly

World Health Organization

Epidemiology

WHO implores China to finally share Covid origins data, five years on

Guardian•Dec 31, 2024

‘Moral imperative’: WHO presses China to share COVID origins data

Al Jazeera•Dec 31, 2024

China says shared Covid information 'without holding anything back'

Raw Story•Dec 31, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

20%

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

60%

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Health & Pandemics

2024 Leaderboard

Infectious disease

World Health Assembly

World Health Organization

Epidemiology

WHO implores China to finally share Covid origins data, five years on

Guardian•Dec 31, 2024

‘Moral imperative’: WHO presses China to share COVID origins data

Al Jazeera•Dec 31, 2024

China says shared Covid information 'without holding anything back'

Raw Story•Dec 31, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

20%

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

60%

🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

MetaculusM

Will the Pandemic Agreement be approved at the May 2024 World Health Assembly?

Make a Prediction

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Comments

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?