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Question

When will the Windows 10 desktop market share be surpassed by another Windows version?

Total Forecasters9
Community Prediction2026-11-09 (2026-01-01 - 2027-05-14)

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CDF

weight:
Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<2025-01-012.5%
Quartiles
lower 25%01 Jan 2026
median09 Nov 2026
upper 75%14 May 2027
Upper bound
>2027-12-319.8%
Authors:
Opened:May 13, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028

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