Question
When will the Windows 10 desktop market share be surpassed by another Windows version?
Total Forecasters9
Community Prediction2026-11-09 (2026-01-01 - 2027-05-14)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2025-01-01 | 2.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 01 Jan 2026 | — |
| median | 09 Nov 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | 14 May 2027 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2027-12-31 | 9.8% | — |
Authors:
Opened:May 13, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
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Authors:
Opened:May 13, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch