Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Before January 1, 2026, what will be the highest compression factor achieved for the Hutter Prize?

4
2
Total Forecasters6
Community Prediction9 (8.92 - 9.12)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>11
...
...
...
...
8.92
9.003
9.116
0.2%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
johnnycaffeineyuxi.liu.1995
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Computing and Math
2024-2025 Leaderboard
Marcus Hutter
Hutter Prize
Theoretical physics
AIXI
DeepMind

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