Question

When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction2038-04-15 (2029-01-24 - 2040-01-01)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2040-01-01
community	Jan 2029	Apr 2038	>Jan 2040	47.9%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Jan 2029	—
median	Apr 2038	—
upper 75%	>Jan 2040	—
Upper bound
>2040-01-01	47.9%	—

Authors:

ADQ

Opened:

May 14, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2039

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2040

Health & Pandemics

Virology

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus

2009 swine flu pandemic

Public health

COVID-19

Medicine

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Spain

Epidemiology

Infectious disease

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