Question

When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction

Jul 2033

(Nov 2028 - Jan 2040)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>Jan 2040
community	Nov 2028	Jul 2033	>Jan 2040	39.5%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Nov 2028	—
median	Jul 2033	—
upper 75%	>Jan 2040	—
Upper bound
>220898880000%	39.5%	—

Authors:

ADQ

Opened:

May 14, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2039

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2040

Spot Scoring Time:

May 17, 2024

Health & Pandemics

Virology

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus

2009 swine flu pandemic

Public health

COVID-19

Medicine

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Spain

Epidemiology

Infectious disease

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