Question

When will Palestine become a full UN member state?

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Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction2042-01-11 (2034-03-21 - 2058-11-26)

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>2075-01-01

...

2034-03-21 16:58

2042-01-11 16:27

2058-11-26 05:16

15.9%

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Geopolitics

United Nations Security Council

2014 Israel–Gaza conflict

Gaza War (2008–09)

Joe Biden

UNGA Overwhelmingly Votes for Gaza Ceasefire; WSJ: Hamas Agrees to 2 Key Israeli Ceasefire Demands

Democracy Now•Dec 13, 2024

UN General Assembly approves resolutions demanding Gaza ceasefire, more aid to Palestinian refugees

PBS NewsHour•Dec 13, 2024

UNGA demands permanent ceasefire in Gaza: How did your country vote?

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

How many countries will become UN member states before 2075?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

25%

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Authors:

MetaCalculator

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

United Nations Security Council

2014 Israel–Gaza conflict

Gaza War (2008–09)

Joe Biden

UNGA Overwhelmingly Votes for Gaza Ceasefire; WSJ: Hamas Agrees to 2 Key Israeli Ceasefire Demands

Democracy Now•Dec 13, 2024

UN General Assembly approves resolutions demanding Gaza ceasefire, more aid to Palestinian refugees

PBS NewsHour•Dec 13, 2024

UNGA demands permanent ceasefire in Gaza: How did your country vote?

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

How many countries will become UN member states before 2075?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

25%

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When will Palestine become a full UN member state?

Make a Prediction

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

How many countries will become UN member states before 2075?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

Comments

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

How many countries will become UN member states before 2075?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

How many countries will become UN member states before 2075?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

How many countries will become UN member states before 2075?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?