Question

Will a spacecraft made by humans land on a moon of Jupiter before 2050?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction85%

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50%

community: 85%

median 85.0%mean 82.8%

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johnnycaffeine

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Mysterious far side of the moon once had erupting volcanoes, lunar soil retrieved by Chinese spacecraft confirms

CBS•Nov 15, 2024

Pan Am made bookings for moon flights— years before Elon Musk

New York Post•Nov 16, 2024

Space volcanoes erupted on dark side of moon for over a billion years

Independent•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will there be a round trip crewed mission to Jupiter's orbit?

2076-08-30

Will a mission to land a spacecraft on Europa launch by 2030?

10%

How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?

2.67