Question

When will a country first introduce an antimatter weapon in its armed forces?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters7

Community Prediction2200-01

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2200-01

...

2178-08

2200-01

58.4%

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

International Atomic Energy Agency

Science

Will a non-test ASAT weapon be used against a satellite before 2030?

29%

If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?

2037-05

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

International Atomic Energy Agency

Science

Mysteries of universe revealed? Hardly. But CERN still fascinates, discovers on its 70th anniversary

Associated Press•Oct 1, 2024

First Observation of One-in-10-Billion Particle Decay Hints at Hidden Physics

Scientific American•Oct 1, 2024

Map Shows Strategic Drills of World's Nuclear Powers

Newsweek•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a non-test ASAT weapon be used against a satellite before 2030?

29%

If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?

2037-05

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

25%

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

When will a country first introduce an antimatter weapon in its armed forces?

Make a Prediction

Will a non-test ASAT weapon be used against a satellite before 2030?

If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

Comments

Will a non-test ASAT weapon be used against a satellite before 2030?

If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

Will a non-test ASAT weapon be used against a satellite before 2030?

If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

Will a non-test ASAT weapon be used against a satellite before 2030?

If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?